Redzone MetricsThis week

Player Props

DraftKings' line for every prop this week, how often each player has cleared it, and the model's projection. Tap a player to move the line or type your book's odds to see if the play is worth it.

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Lines: DraftKings, through ESPN, refreshed through the week. Projection: his per-game average, this season at full weight and last season at about a third, scaled by how much this week's defense allows to his position. Model % is the chance of clearing the line from that projection (a normal curve fitted to his own games for yards and volume, Poisson for touchdowns). A big gap between model and line usually means news the model cannot see: an injury, a role change, weather. Model output, not betting advice.